With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelectionLichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.
|Publisher:||Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.|
|Edition description:||2008 Edition|
|Product dimensions:||6.00(w) x 8.90(h) x 0.50(d)|
About the Author
Allan J. Lichtman is professor of American history at American University.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1. Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really Work Chapter 2. Turning the Keys to the Presidency Chapter 3. Civil War and Reconstruction Chapter 4. The Gilded Age Chapter 5. Rise and Fall of Progressivism Chapter 6. Depression, War, and Cold War Chapter 7. New Directions, War, and Scandal Chapter 8. The Reagan Revolution Chapter 9. A False Dawn for Democrats Chapter 10. The Winds of Political Change: Forecast for 2008 Chapter 11. Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics
What People are Saying About This
For generations, politicians, pundits, and poll-takers have been seeking their version of the Holy Grail--a surefire, guaranteed way to predict presidential elections well ahead of time. It may have been found in this book.
Do me a favor. Don't read this book. Because if you do, it could put all of us pundits and political consultants out of business. Allan Lichtman has some nerve, revealing our trade secrets to the great unwashed public. Including the biggest secret of all, which is that the presidential vote is simple, rational, and highly predictable.