This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license.
This book explores the implications of acknowledging uncertainty and black swans for regulation of high-hazard technologies, for stakeholder acceptability of potentially hazardous activities and for risk governance. The conventional approach to risk assessment, which combines the likelihood of an event and the severity of its consequences, is poorly suited to situations where uncertainty and ambiguity are prominent features of the risk landscape. The new definition of risk used by ISO, “the effect of uncertainty on [achievement of] one’s objectives”, recognizes this paradigm change. What lessons can we draw from the management of fire hazards in Edo-era Japan? Are there situations in which increasing uncertainty allows more effective safety management? How should society address the risk of potentially planet-destroying scientific experiments?
This book presents insights from leading scholars in different disciplines to challenge current risk governance and safety management practice.
Table of Contents
1 Uncertainty: new perspectives, questions and proposals, by Gilles Motet.- 2 Uncertainty - its ontological status and relation to safety, by Ove Njå, Øivind Solberg & Geir Sverre Braut.- 3 A conceptual foundation for assessing and managing risk, surprises and black swans, by Terje Aven.- 4 Recognizing complexity in risk management: the challenge of the Improbable, by Jean Pariès.- 5 Promoting safety by increasing uncertainty Implications for risk Management, by Gudela Grote.- 6 Practices in the danger culture of late industrial society, by Arie Rip.- 7 Judicial Review of Uncertain Risks in Scientific Research, by Eric E. Johnson.- 8 What can Japan’s early modern capital of Edo teach us about risk management?, by Jordan Sand.- 9 Conclusion, by Corinne Bieder.