Campaigns and Voters in Developing Democracies: Argentina in Comparative Perspective

Campaigns and Voters in Developing Democracies: Argentina in Comparative Perspective


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Voting behavior is informed by the experience of advanced democracies, yet the electoral context in developing democracies is significantly different. Civil society is often weak, poverty and inequality high, political parties ephemeral and attachments to them weak, corruption rampant, and clientelism widespread. Voting decisions in developing democracies follow similar logics to those in advanced democracies in that voters base their choices on group affiliation, issue positions, valence considerations, and campaign persuasion. Yet developing democracies differ in the weight citizens assign to these considerations. Where few social identity groups are politically salient and partisan attachments are sparse, voters may place more weight on issue voting. Where issues are largely absent from political discourse, valence considerations and campaign effects play a larger role. Campaigns and Voters in Developing Democracies develops a theoretical framework to specify why voter behavior differs across contexts.

Product Details

ISBN-13: 9780472131280
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Publication date: 02/26/2019
Series: Weiser Center for Emerging Democracies Series
Pages: 304
Product dimensions: 6.00(w) x 9.00(h) x 1.10(d)

About the Author

Noam Lupu is Associate Professor of Political Science at Vanderbilt University and Associate Director of the Latin American Public Opinion Project.
Virginia Oliveros is Assistant Professor of Political Science and Associate Research Fellow at the Center for Inter-American Policy and Research and the Roger Thayer Stone Center for Latin American Studies at Tulane University.
Luis Schiumerini is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Notre Dame.

Table of Contents

Preface and Acknowledgments vii

List of Tables xi

List of Figures xiii

1 Toward a Theory of Campaigns and Voters in Developing Democracies Noam Lupu Virginia Oliveros Luis Schiumerini 1

2 Economic Shocks and Partisan Realignment in Argentina María Victoria Murillo Steven Levitsky 28

3 Down to the Wire: Argentina's 2015 Campaign Ernesto Calvo 53

4 Why Does Wealth Affect Vote Choice? Noam Lupu 72

5 Mass Partisanship in Three Latin American Democracies Andy Baker Dalton Dorr 89

6 Explaining Support for the Incumbent in Presidential Elections Carlos Gervasoni María Laura Tagina 114

7 Macri's Mandate: Structural Reform or Better Performance? Luis Schiumerini 136

8 Dealigning Campaign Effects in Argentina in Comparative Perspective Kenneth F. Greene 162

9 Strategic Voting in a Two-Round, Multi-Candidate Election Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro Matthew S. Winters 187

10 Perceptions of Ballot Integrity and Clientelism Virginia Oliveros 213

11 Conclusion: The Significance of Unmoored Voters Elizabeth J. Zechmeister 239

Bibliography 255

Contributors 283

Index 287

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